Frustrated by shortcomings of available tools I have created an indicator yielding timely and exact probabilities for US recessions.
Please find the report here (freely available): Lighthouse Macro Report: Introducing LRPI
Frustrated by shortcomings of available tools I have created an indicator yielding timely and exact probabilities for US recessions.
Please find the report here (freely available): Lighthouse Macro Report: Introducing LRPI